The Minnesota Twins (34-27) meet the A’s (23-40) in the finale of a 4-game series Thursday afternoon. The first pitch from Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, California, is slated for 3:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Twins vs. A’s odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Twins lead 3-0
Minnesota has a shot at a 4-game series sweep. The Twins downed the A’s in each of the first 3 games and by a combined score of 26-8. The Minnesota offense has cranked out an .831 OPS over its last 6 games.
The A’s are in a free-fall. They have not won since May 25 and are just 1-21 over their last 22 games.
Twins at A’s projected starters
RHP David Festa vs. RHP Mitch Spence
Festa (0-0, 1.38 ERA) is making his fourth start. He has allowed 12 hits and 5 walks with 15 K’s through 13 IP.
- Expected to be recalled from Triple-A St. Paul for this start
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 6-3 home victory vs. Chicago White Sox April 23
- Career stats: 2-6, 4.31 ERA (77 1/3 IP, 37 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 16 starts and 1 relief appearance
- Has never faced A’s
Spence (1-1, 4.38 ERA) is making his first start and 23rd appearance. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 39 IP.
- Expected to serve in an opener role in this game
- Last outing: 2 relief IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 8-4 defeat at Toronto Blue Jays Sunday
- Career vs. Twins: 1 road start (June 14, 2024), no-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-5 setback in 10 innings
- 2024 stats: 8-10, 4.58 ERA (151 1/3 IP, 77 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 24 starts and 11 relief appearances
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Twins at A’s odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Twins -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | A’s +154 (bet $100 to win $154)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (-125) | A’s +1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -118 | U: -102)
Twins at A’s picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 7, A’s 4
Too much juice. PASS.
Minnesota is 9-1 across the last 10 series games; 7 of those wins have been by multi-run margins.
Festa has been solid across recent Triple-A starts. This game figures to be heavily influenced by the bullpens, and that’s a big edge for the visiting nine. Twins relievers have posted a 3.11 ERA, ranking third in MLB, while the A’s bullpen’s 6.28 ERA ranks 30th.
The Twins may be a game or 2 too far over their skis with their record, but the same can be said of the A’s. And the A’s have the gravity of a streak pushing against them.
Consider a partial-unit play on MINNESOTA -1.5 (-125).
The Over is 5-2 across the last 7 meetings.
There are a few pitching question marks here, and Sutter Health Park has been playing solidly as a hitter’s yard so far.
Consider a partial-unit play on the OVER 10.5 (-118).
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